Moscow and Kompromat
We talk a lot about people having Kompromat. But nothing ever comes of it. If I were to pick one person who has real, serious Kompromat, I would choose Yuri Luzhkov. I cannot really see why else Putin et al. have not done anything about Yuri. So I am not sure that I entirely buy into this idea that Yuri could be on his way out. Here is what Viktor Timoffev says:
There are two possible scenarios for the [Moscow] region’s future. Either the Kremlin will appoint a new governor or Moscow and the Moscow region will join as a single municipality, and the newly appointed governor will replace both Gromov and Yury Luzhkov, the legendary Moscow mayor.
This solution would clear up a lot of confusion about Moscow’s status. And it would be easier to control what goes on in Moscow. But I still think that Yuri is safe, for the time being.
Timoffev goes on:
Some experts assume that the Kremlin is considering first deputy-prime minister Sergey Sobyanin for the job. One of the experts, who asked for anonimity because he was not authorized to speak on this matter, stated in an interview: “Sobyanin is one of the likeliest perspective candidates for this job and it whould be excellent if he would accept it. Other possible candidates for the position would be another first deputy PM Igor Shuvalov, or deputy PM Zhukov and Kozak.”
Let’s go through this list, shall we? First, Sergey Sobyanin. His CV makes him the most ideal candidate. Governor of Tyumen, plus various other admin posts. In addition his current responsibilities of overseeing the division of power among federal, regional, and municipal levels of government make him very experienced. However, as the Power Vertical has proved, a resume does not mean anything. I shall probably repeat this until you get sick of hearing it, but the only thing the Power Vertical requires is a warm body who is at least nominally loyal. And if we are going on loyalty alone, the most likely candidate from this list is Zhukov. Because Kozak has shown that he can break out, and there is no way that Putin is letting go of Igor Shuvalov.